CDC’s May.20th Virus Planning Models Produce Death Rate Estimates Far Lower Than What We Have Been Led to Believe by the Media



Disease Severity

  • Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio: The number of symptomatic individuals who die of the disease among all individuals experiencing symptoms from the infection. This parameter is not necessarily equivalent to the number of reported deaths per reported cases, because many cases and deaths are never confirmed to be COVID-19, and there is a lag in time between when people are infected and when they die. This parameter reflects the existing standard of care and may be affected by the introduction of new therapeutics.”




Seasonal flu kills on average 0.1% of people who become infected according to the New York Times.



(New York Times) “On average, seasonal flu strains kill about 0.1 percent of people who become infected. The 1918 flu had an unusually high fatality rate, around 2 percent. Because it was so contagious, that flu killed tens of millions of people.”
https://archive.is/5hm63#selection-671.0-678.0



Now let’s take a look at these newly released CDC estimates that were posted on their website on May 20th, 2020.



Each column is separated based upon specific scenarios — but take a closer look.

Do you see those fatality rates?

They look eerily similar to the fatality rate for seasonal flu cited by the New York Times — don’t they?

Will have to review the criteria for the CDC’s scenarios in more detail and update later — but nevertheless, none of those numbers appear to be anywhere near as bad as the implied death rates that were aggressively promoted by the media back in March-April. In fact, it’s beginning to look like the statements made by Norman Tebbit back on March.30th — that most of the deaths were concentrated among the “sick, frail and elderly” — were spot on.



According to RT, seasonal flu kills 650-300 000 people globally per year…



Which so far seems to be in line with those seasonal influenza outbreak numbers referenced above — although it is still too early to be making that assessment at the current moment..

Image from google: COVID-19 worldwide death figures as of May.30th, 2020

Listed below are a series of key news articles that will help broaden your perspective about this coronavirus outbreak.











































































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